Thursday, December 24, 2009

NFL Playoff Projections, Week 16

brandon-marshall.jpg
Despite last week's loss to the Raiders, Brandon Marshall
and the Broncos still control their own destiny for the postseason.

Groundhog's Day isn't until February, but in the Bill Murray movie sense it could come a month earlier in the NFL. That's because two Week 17 games --Packers-Cardinals and Eagles-Cowboys -- could repeat on the schedule the very next week in the wild-card round. In fact, we project that exact scenario will play out in the NFC.

As for the AFC, everything isn't so neat and tidy. With two 8-6 teams (Ravens and Broncos) and six 7-7 teams (Jaguars, Dolphins, Jets, Steelers, Titans, Texans) vying for two playoff spots, the scenarios are complicated, to say the least. The simplest projection, obviously, is for Baltimore and Denver to win out. However, to provide as much clarity as possible, we have figured out the team vs. team tiebreakers for all eight teams should they finish at 9-7. They're listed in the corresponding Extra Points (in italics) below.

Additionally, we lay out the playoff picture two ways: 1) As though the season ended today, and 2) As though the season will play out the way we predict it will. We will use the NFL's official tiebreaker procedures to determine seeding. If you have any questions or comments, please e-mail us.

Without further ado...

AFC

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (14-0)

If The Playoffs Started Today: In; No. 1 seed
Remaining Schedule (Projected Results): vs. N.Y. Jets (W); at Buffalo (W)
Final Projected Record; Playoff Seeding: 16-0; No. 1
Extra Point: As evidenced by.....Full List of Picks Here

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