Wednesday, August 25, 2010

New Tropical Depression Forms Behind Hurricane Danielle


Bloomberg Weather News

Tropical Depression 7 joined Hurricane Danielle in the Atlantic, developing out of an area of disturbed weather about 430 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Danielle, with maximum sustained winds of 85 miles (140 kilometers) per hour, strengthened today from 75 mph late yesterday and was about 710 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, according a hurricane center advisory shortly before 11 a.m. Miami time. It is moving west-northwest at 17 mph.

The depression has winds of 35 mph, just below the threshold of 39 mph needed to become a named storm, and is moving west at 17 mph.

“The depression will likely become a tropical storm later today and there is unusually warm water over the tropical Atlantic,” according to a hurricane center analysis. “The conditions are expected to remain favorable for intensification.”

If the depression reaches tropical storm strength, it would be named Earl. The hurricane center’s tracking maps show it intensifying into a hurricane by next week and moving west toward the Leeward Islands.

U.S. Unthreatened

“More likely than not it will remain an oceanic storm and not a threat to U.S. interests,” said Jim Rouiller, senior energy meteorologist at Planalytics Inc. in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.

It joins Danielle, the Atlantic season’s second hurricane and fourth named storm. Danielle, a Category 1 storm, lowest on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale, is forecast to intensify in the next two days, the center reported. It will probably turn gradually north, passing east of Bermuda on Aug. 29.

Rouiller said the system that concerns him will be moving off Africa soon.

“This could be our first real formidable threat to the Gulf, but that is still at least 10 days away,” Rouiller said.

The weather pattern that is shielding the U.S. from Danielle will be breaking up by early September, leaving the Gulf of Mexico open to a strike, he said.

“There will be a strong, steady flow from east to west, a conveyor belt between Cape Verde to the East Coast to the Gulf,” Rouiller said.



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